Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011
2025-05-11 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000016
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000014 0.000020
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022
2025-06-08 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026
2025-06-15 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000031
2025-06-22 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000020 0.000035
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000021 0.000040
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000045
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000051
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000061
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000029 0.000071
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000084
2025-08-10 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000035 0.000098
2025-08-17 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000038 0.000116
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000040 0.000130
2025-08-31 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000043 0.000151
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000047 0.000178
2025-09-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000049 0.000198
2025-09-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000052 0.000227
2025-09-28 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000054 0.000250
2025-10-05 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000058 0.000292